New Poll Shows 57 Percent Liberal Voters Might Vote NDP And 50 Percent NDP Voters Might Vote Liberal!
A staggering 57% of Liberal voters might vote NDP and 50% of NDP supporters could vote Liberal. This stunning insight from Nanos Research’s polling over the Labour Day weekend is being driven by a strong Anybody but Harper sentiment and desire for change. So a new website called VoteSwapping.ca has launched with a single purpose to defeat Harper.
OTTAWA – A staggering 57% of Liberal voters might vote NDP and 50% of NDP supporters could vote Liberal. This stunning insight from Nanos Research’s polling over the Labour Day weekend is being driven by a strong Anybody but Harper sentiment and desire for change. So a new website called VoteSwapping.ca has launched with a single purpose to defeat Harper.
In the 2011 election, Harper won his majority with just 6,201 votes out of 14.8 million votes cast. Those 6,201 votes were the difference between the Conservative win and the second place finisher in the 14 closest races across Canada.
In other words, a small shift in votes could have taken the majority away from Harper and the Conservatives.
For instance:
Don Valley West in Toronto was one of the 14 closest races in 2011: the Conservative beat the Liberal by 609 votes. The NDP was in a distant third place with 11 per cent.
In Manitoba, in Elmwood-Transcona, the NDP lost to the Conservative by 284 votes and the Liberal was in a distant third place with only 5 per cent of the vote.
So, if 700 NDP supporters in Don Valley West (where the NDP had little chance of winning) had swapped their votes with 700 Liberal supporters in Elmwood-Transcona (where the Liberals had little chance of winning) – both groups of 700 would have got what they want – one more MP for their party – and collectively two fewer Conservative MPs.
VoteSwapping would have involved the 700 NDP supporters voting Liberal in Don Valley West, in return for the 700 Liberal supporters in Elmwood-Transcona voting NDP.
VoteSwapping.ca is using polling data to provide clarity of which candidate is leading and which is running second in swing ridings. Only with real-time, transparent and accurate data can electors in swing ridings make informed decisions of how to best vote to defeat Harper.
In past elections, vote swapping efforts made recommendations using predictive models based on national and regional polls. But at the ridings level these were at best guesses and at worst incorrect in close races.
With large sample sizes for individual ridings and analysis by reputable polling firms, our data will accurately identify the support of each candidate. Allowing Canadian to swap votes with confidence their actions will be effective in altering the electoral outcome.
For more info visit VoteSwapping.ca
