TORONTO – Racist Trump-lite Doug Ford’s membership scandal-plagued Ontario PC may help the NDP form a majority government in Canada’s largest province.
Andrea Horwath-led NDP is soaring and has now moved past Ford’s PC with incumbent Liberals making up the rear.
Horwath’s New Democrats, meanwhile, have made gains in poll after poll — and according to two recent polls may have moved into an effective tie with the PCs with the most latest on Thursday showing the NDP clearly ahead and in the majority territory.
But be warned that polls sometimes overstate the actual situation but clearly the NDP does have momentum whether it can form a majority government will be known on day, June 7.
The Poll Tracker, an aggregation of all publicly available polling data, puts the PCs at 37.9 per cent support, with the NDP behind at 33.8 per cent. That represents a gain of over seven points for the New Democrats since the last pre-campaign update, reported CBC News.
Those gains have come from both the PCs and the Liberals. The two parties have slipped three points each since the beginning of the campaign, with Kathleen Wynne’s Liberals now down to 23 per cent. The Greens under Mike Schreiner stand at four per cent support in the Poll Tracker, largely unchanged.
Two of the three polls published recently show that the gap between the PCs and the NDP has narrowed even further. In a survey conducted online between May 16 and 18, Abacus Data put the PC lead at just one point. A more recent online survey by Ipsos/Global News (May 18-21) puts the New Democrats ahead by one point — the first poll in three years by any pollster to put the Ontario NDP in first place.
Another survey by Mainstreet Research (May 15-18) showed only modest gains for the New Democrats and the PCs still ahead by about 13 points.
Nevertheless, while the margin between the two parties may be up for debate, every poll published in this campaign so far has shown the NDP making progress.
