Bangladesh awaits its bridge of dreams across the mighty Padma

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All along the brand new six-lane expressway from Dhaka to Mawa in Munshiganj district, signs with pictures of Sheikh Hasina congratulate her and the people of Bangladesh on “amader swapner Padda Setu” — the Bridge of Our Dreams Across the Padma.

The signs are sponsored by local leaders of the ruling Awami League and compete with each other to lavish praise and gratitude on the leader — but they invariably refer to the “dream”.

Twenty-one years after the Prime Minister, in the last days of her previous tenure, laid the foundation stone in Mawa, a decade after the World Bank cancelled its $1.2 billion funding saying it “cannot, should not, and will not turn a blind eye to evidence of corruption” in the project, and seven years after Bangladesh began construction with its own money, the Padma Multipurpose Road-Rail Bridge is ready to be inaugurated on Saturday.

The Padma Bridge is the biggest and most challenging infrastructure asset ever created in Bangladesh. By joining the southwest — home to 30 million people — with the capital across the mighty river that cleaves through the country, the bridge is expected to give an unprecedented boost to communications, trade, and the economy of Bangladesh as a whole.

The government estimates GDP to increase by 1.23 per cent — and the southwestern regional GDP by 2.3 per cent — as the bridge begins to provide returns.

It will dramatically cut the road distance between Dhaka and cities to its west such as Khulna, Jessore, and Barisal. And once the railway line on the bridge is opened — perhaps by March 2024 — Dhaka could come within three-and-a-half hours of Kolkata, potentially revolutionising trade and communication with India.

But as of now, for most Bangladeshis, the $3.6-billion, more than 6-km-long bridge over an expanse of swirling water so massive it could be the sea itself, is above all an object of immense national pride — the symbol of a confident nation marching towards a triumphant destiny it believes is within its reach.

The bridge symbolises “the strength of Bangladesh’s national determination”, and with its inauguration, the country “will turn a decisive corner in its economic story, which has defied the gloom-and-doom prophesies of early neoliberal and rightwing sceptics”, said Dr Ashikur Rahman, Senior Economist at the Policy Research Institute in Dhaka.

By providing road and rail links between the country’s relatively less-developed southwest and the more developed east, the bridge will lead to greater integration of regional markets, Rahman said. The Khulna and Barisal divisions are expected to see the most significant economic and poverty reduction impacts as a result, he said.

“The bridge will cut the distance from Mongla Port (in Khulna) to Dhaka by more than 100 km to only 170 km,” Rahman said. “24,000 vehicles will ply on it every day on average in 2024, and 67,000 by 2050… According to ADB and other independent estimations, the bridge is likely to boost our GDP growth by at least 1%,” he said.

Also, the successful completion of the project after the World Bank chose to dump it — the corruption case against Bangladeshi officials and executives of SNC-Lavalin collapsed in a Canadian court in 2017 — has brought the country invaluable experience in conceiving, financing, and executing projects of mega scale, Rahman said.

Economist Dr M Masrur Reaz, chairman of the public policy think tank Policy Exchange of Bangladesh, too underlined the “growing capabilities of our proud nation in developing and implementing very large and complex infrastructure projects…that will add to its reputation in international negotiations entailing business, development, and project finance”.

With “targeted supportive economic planning”, the bridge will “help develop new manufacturing, agribusiness, services and logistics businesses that are expected to deliver benefits to the tune of $25 billion over 30 years”, Reaz said.

“It will help propel Bangladesh closer to an upper middle-income, and thereafter a high-income country by 2041,” he said.

Dr Atiur Rahman, who was Governor of Bangladesh Bank from 2009 to 2016, said the central bank stood with the government when the World Bank pulled out of the project, and assured regulatory comfort to the banking sector to provide the required foreign exchange.

“The designated bank would use the foreign exchange from its own funds, procure from the market, and get any additional amount from the central bank. Bangladesh Bank was ready to provide any amount from its reserves, which were then growing substantially. It also agreed to ease regulatory requirements like allowing banks to provide letters of comfort to international and national consultants for import of machines, materials, etc.,” the former Governor told The Indian Express.